Immersed in our own torment, it is quite natural that we do not notice what is happening around us and a little further away from us, but it is still very important to us. Orbán, for example, suffered a rather unpleasant defeat in the fight with his colleagues from the European Union: he did not manage to stop the proposal for enlargement of the European Union to Ukraine. As an act of revenge, he vetoed aid to Ukraine in the amount of 50 billion euros, but Europe will find a way for that money, despite Orban, to reach Ukraine. Let's note that every now and then Orbán has an unpleasant word for the EU, but it doesn't occur to him to leave it. Of course, the authoritarian bilzem, by nature of his authoritarian character, slanders.
The Poles, in addition, decided to (finally) scratched brother Kačinjski from his tissue, which is great news for Europe, but not for Orban. Italy's right-wing Prime Minister Giorgio Meloni, on the other hand, shows an unexpectedly great understanding of the European Union, although, truth be told, she has never been too harsh towards the EU. In this sense, Orban, who is ideologically close to her, cannot count on her, and as noted by the always brilliant theoretician Ivan Krastev, he found himself very lonely in a society that he does not want to leave, but which, as he is, does not wants
Last, but not least, the Colorado Supreme Court, citing a constitutional provision that says anyone who attacks the constitutional order cannot run for president,took Trump's right to run in the next presidential elections. For now, it seems that the maneuvers of Trump's lawyers have been unsuccessful, and a hearing in the US Supreme Court is still expected. If the decision of the Colorado Supreme Court goes through - and, let's note by the way, Colorado is not a state that decisively influences the presidential elections in the USA - other states could follow the path of Colorado, primarily those controlled by Democrats, and then Trump would simply be lost.
What does all this mean for us?
Waiting for Vučić's signature
Much more than can be done to a disinterested observer. The last elections in Serbia showed what few dare to say: Vučić's dictatorship, as it is, cannot be collapsed from within, at least not quickly. It is superfluous, in a shackled and unfree country, to explain why this is so.
But Vučić essentially depends on external factors. He lives off the support provided by the European Union and America. Not from the support of Russia (which is barely surviving on its own) or China (which is a pain in the ass for Serbia). Just look at the origin of the money flowing into Serbia: we exchange apples with the Russians, and the Chinese give us the worst they have. Money and support for Vučić come from Europe.
Why is that so? Well, that's clear too. He will, sooner or later, put his signature on the paper that the Europeans and Americans will shove under his nose, or he will dip his thumb in ink and press it on that same paper (you know that sentence: "so what, I didn't sign anything" ). Which, make no mistake, is perfectly fine.
Nothing will remain of Serbia
The problem, however, is that nothing will be left of Serbia in the meantime. In other words, Vučić can be overthrown either by a disaster like the one that Vučić and Slobodan Milošević have already produced: NATO bombing; or the European Union and America will stop supporting him.
But there is another circumstance with which this text began: if the right-wing structure begins to weaken and fall - Poland, therefore, got rid of the fungus, brother Kaczynski, and Orban, precisely thanks to that circumstance, as well as the circumstance that the EU isolated, seriously weakened - as experience shows, this will produce a domino effect that will affect Vučić as well. In East Germany, say, only a few days - not weeks, just a few days - before they will the wall falls, STAZI still arrested the long-haired young men and women who were with them, communist propaganda flowed undisturbed from the radio and television, the torture did not abate, people yearning for freedom drowned in despair, but nothing could stop the process. The regime was wiped out, literally, in a few days. (Of course there are more causes, but the domino effect is the most convincing, perhaps the most important.)
On the other hand, the Spanish dictator Francisco Franco remained in power until his death because he did not lose the support of Europe and America at any time (since 1948), although he strongly supported Hitler and Mussolini, and was a safe house for the worst criminals from the Second World War (Nazis, Ustasha). Moral problems and dilemmas can be discussed, of course, but not if the problem is posed like this, in political categories.
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