"Communist" against "fascist"

Za "Time" from New York

Utica Avenue doesn't look quite the same these days to everyone heading to their polling place to cast a ballot. To many, it is a part of Brooklyn, in the land of a thriving democracy, a thriving economy and a stable electoral system. No one will dispute that this neighborhood is in Kings, but there are also those who will say that the district is in a state of ruined economy, where interest circles rule, and criminals, terrorists and drug dealers cross the borders unhindered. Regardless of the fact that life would be easier for all of them together if purchasing power were as unquestionable as democratic rights, because more of those who stop by the cheap Farmers Market are nearby than to the polls, soon even those who did not turn out to vote early will have to decide - whether they are for the Republican representative Donald Trump, whom the vice president of the country calls a "fascist", or whether they are for the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, whom the former president calls a "communist". If the two leading politicians are telling the truth, the citizens of the USA do not have to live with a president who is inclined to a totalitarian ideology.

How Adolf Hitler and Lenin traveled across the ocean on this sunny October is not clear to New Yorkers, just as they do not understand why those from neighboring Jersey keep asking them what they mean when they say they are from the city, because for them there is only one place in the world with that name, in contrast to the abundance of names that Democrats and Republicans honor each other with on a daily basis.

This can be expected from Donald Trump, the gathering in Madison Square Garden where the comedian Tony Hinchcliffe called Puerto Rico a "floating island of garbage" is part of the Republican iconography, for some reason such things are fun for them. The former president always mocked and insulted his opponents, but something important has changed with Kamala Harris.

The "cheerful warriors" from the beginning of her presidential candidacy have turned into worried messengers who constantly talk about the danger that has loomed over their country. When you look at the latest polls, it is clear what worries the "tireless fighters". The results of a survey conducted by the "New York Times" and "Siena College" show that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are completely tied at the national level with 48 percent support, which is confirmed by the latest CNN survey.

INTUITION OF NUMBERS

However, no matter how professionally the public opinion polls are done, there is always a statistical error of three to four points. It could mean any number of things. For example, if Harris has 51 percent and Trump 45 percent, or Trump 52 percent and Harris 48 percent. So, it is known that it is not known, although the Democrats have been winning the majority at the state level for many years, which will probably happen again this November, but it will not be decisive. The essence is in the American electoral system, so the majority is not important at all, the only important thing is which presidential candidate will win in a sufficient number of federal states and win at least 270 out of 538 electoral votes. A huge number of states usually vote the same way, either Republican or Democrat, but Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin occasionally switch sides, so their voters essentially decide the president.

Just as there are two parties, two styles are also recognized among experts for analyzing pre-election polls. We are talking, of course, about objective, unbiased people, who do not support the Democratic or Republican parties. Both say that the chances of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are completely equal and that it may never have been like this in American history. This is where the differences between them begin, because some have certain indications of who is better, while others refrain from any conclusions. Not because they won't say, but because they don't know. Or, they say they can't know.

Thousands of people in America are engaged in researching political trends, public opinion, society and the economy, but it is not a bad idea to see what, for example, Doug Sosnick, who has long been one of the leading advisers and strategists of the Democratic Party, thinks. His analyzes are watched closely by both parties, as Democrats and Republicans regularly share their internal research with him. Not much can be heard from top professionals of that profile, serious people don't get bogged down in forecasts, so he also says that the chances of Trump and Harris are 50-50. But if someone insists, Sosnik will retort with what he has heard from his colleagues from both parties: that Harris is ahead in two "wavering" (swing) states, while Trump is doing better in the other five. "That's what my gut tells me," said one of the most famous experts in the field, Nate Silver, "but don't trust anyone's gut, including mine." So Sosnik's sources, Silver's intuition and cold numbers, which say, half and half.

Of course, numbers can be interpreted in different ways, so it's worth hearing from someone who knows the Republican side well, like Kristen Soltis Anderson from the agency "Echelon Insights", which is often approached for services by members of the government and owners of large companies. Knowing how wrong the polls can be, and with the two presidential candidates side by side, she will say that it would be extremely irresponsible to say anything other than that there are three scenarios: first, that on the morning of November 6 it is clear that Donald Trump has won; second, that Kamala Harris was elected; the third is that for the next few weeks it will not be known who the new president of the USA is. If anyone tries to get anything more than this, she will reply that it would be like asking her to take a room scale and measure the ingredients for a meal. The problem is not that the scale shows the wrong weight, but that it cannot measure, for example, how much sugar is needed for pancakes with maple syrup, or flour for apple pie with vanilla ice cream.

The room scales can only say that Harris lost the initial momentum and that the two candidates have been extremely close to each other since then.

WARRIORS ARE NO LONGER JOYFUL

While Trump is following the well-trodden path of inflaming popular discontent, using more and more profanity and profanity in recent days, Kamala Harris turned on his personality, given that he revealed his unbalanced nature, narcissistic urges and penchant for bizarre conspiracy theories even during the presidential debate. which is exactly what the Democrats have always said about him.

That's why, in between guest appearances at the forums where he ends his retirement days, John Kelly, the former head of Trump's cabinet, was pulled out again on the public stage, to say that the former president of the USA completely fits the "definition of a fascist", that he has heard many times how he praised Hitler and said that he would like to have "German generals". In Bob Woodward's book, the former Chief of the General Staff, Mark Milley, claims the same thing, calling Trump a "fascist in his essence", so that Kamala Harris, during a guest appearance on CNN, said without any hesitation that her opponent is a pure "fascist" who poses a danger to democracy and country.

There is no doubt that Trump has never had any inhibitions, that he thinks he can run the country like he runs his companies and doesn't care too much about the laws, which represents obvious autocratic tendencies, but during his presidency he was constantly held back by Congress, institutions and members of the government who thwarted his willfulness. But even those who have nothing good to say about him will not agree with the fact that four years ago they lived in a fascist state.

No one seriously believes that, so Democrats are wasting their days on such stories instead of focusing on the problems of the economy, inflation and immigration, especially since they are constantly losing support among African Americans and Latinos, who have always been their main electoral base. When you add to that the "white paper" syndrome, widespread among the Muslim population, who would rather punish the Democrats for arming Israel than think about what will happen if Trump is elected, it is clear why the Democratic message of joy has turned into fear-mongering.

TRUMP IS A SYMPTOM

The vast majority of Americans are much more concerned about paying rent, fuel and food, many have thousands of dollars in credit card debt, so they think much more about their own future than about the totalitarian ideologies they heard about in school. Only 28 percent of voters believe that their country is on the right track, so voters do not support Trump because he is a better candidate, but because they want change. So Kamala Harris has the heavy burden of convincing people to vote for her—accusing Trump of bringing controversial speakers to his rallies won't sway public opinion. Hinchcliffe is the American Minimax, his humor is more trivial than dangerous, although it served the Democrats well to say that the Republican candidate is not only a fascist, but also a racist. Donald Trump is the way he is, there is no help, so the Democrats cannot expect a miracle in the last days of the campaign, no matter how much they wish for such a thing.

The stable support that Trump enjoys despite the gaffes, blunders, court rulings, accusations and contentious matters that come up almost every day clearly shows that he is a symptom and not the cause of what is happening in part of American society. Donald Trump is the consequence. Despite the revival of the MAGA slogan (Make America Great Again), the "Make America Great Again" movement itself is bigger than itself. This is why there is more passion, enthusiasm, lust and desire to win in the Republican narrative.

Usually they are progressive subversives, but there has come a strange time for more liberal politicians to stand up for status quo, and conservatives are looking for changes, gaining more and more momentum due to the dissatisfaction that began in America at the beginning of the 2000s. In every election, the voters have voted against those in power, which means that for more than two decades they have persistently repeated that they want something other than what they have.

AND THAT'S AMERICA

This has largely led to the fact that the Republican and Democratic parties cannot separate themselves from each other, long gone are the days of the Republican ascendancy of Ronald Reagan or the Democratic dominance during new deal Franklin Roosevelt. Somewhat paradoxically, the two parties seem to be making no effort to expand their voter base, with Donald Trump being a much more authentic representative of the MAGA movement for change than Kamala Harris being the voice of those who want to continue down the same path. Although their two names will be on the ballot, these are primarily elections between two value systems and worldviews, not Democratic and Republican political programs.

But no matter how Wednesday morning dawns, the path of those who promote Utica Avenue inevitably diverges. One will continue toward that store that sells sacks of frozen meat for a few dozen dollars, while the other will continue toward the bars on Williamsburg. Both the jam-packed Farmers Market and the always packed Mason Premier restaurant, which serves fresh oysters and New Orleans cocktails, are in Brooklyn. Kings County. New York City. The country of America, where in a few days half of the citizens will be sad, dissatisfied and angry.